Kirtac and Germano (2024) compare OPT, BERT, FinBERT, and a classic finance dictionary on U.S. news sentiment and next-day returns—after costs in spirit for careful readers. Not investment advice.
Dictionary sentiment is still taught in many finance courses. Large language models (LLMs) are now used to score news tone. Which approach actually lines up better with next-day returns in a careful study?
Sentiment Trading with Large Language Models (Kirtac and Germano, 2024) compares several NLP stacks on a large U.S. financial-news sample, including BERT, OPT, FinBERT, and the classic Loughran–McDonald dictionary.
This Hub note is orientation for after-work learners. It is not investment advice and not a signal to copy.
Headline comparison from the paper’s abstract: OPT (GPT-3 family) shows the highest reported sentiment-classification accuracy among the models they highlight, with BERT and FinBERT close behind, and the Loughran–McDonald dictionary much weaker on their accuracy metric. Treat numbers as paper results, not a live edge.
You will see Hub and GitHub posts that say “just use FinBERT.” This paper is a reminder to compare baselines, including old dictionaries, and to ask what “accuracy” even means for your task. For evening study:
Landing: arXiv:2412.19245
Not investment advice. LLM scores and paper backtests are research outputs. Markets change; costs, latency, and capacity can erase paper-looking edges. Do not trade from this summary.
Only course CTA on this page: Introduction to Python Programming at SoloQuant Academy—short after-work lessons so you can load text files and run small scripts confidently before you touch LLM sentiment stacks.